本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛（ The cherry blossom prediction dates are now within the 14-day forecast. Thus, this is the FINAL of the prediction. ）
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Cherry Blossom Blooming Prediction, April 21, 2016 , posted by Nobby Miura , nobbycosmic@yahoo.co.jp
[] Nobby's Fearless Prediction FINAL of Cherry Blossoms at High Park (Sent out on April 9, 2016 to Japanese Canadian community)
The cherry blossom prediction dates are now within the 14-day forecast. Thus, this is the FINAL of the prediction.
Because the 14-day forecast figures are lower than the average daily temperatures of the past, the prediction dates shifted by 3 days from the previous prediction two weeks ago on March 27.
Based on the calculated figures at this point, using the 14-day forecast, they are pointing the beginning of the blooming between April 20 and April 24 and the full bloom between April 26 and April 30.
The declaration of the blooming will be posted here:
http://torontonikkeiforum.2forum.biz/f1-toronto-nikkei-forum.
* Note: Since April 9, the 14-day forecast shifted significantly to lower temperatures. The prediction above may be shifted a few more days later.
Past blooming records:
May 2, 2007 (Within the prediction)
April 26, 2008 (Within the prediction)
April 27, 2009 (2 days later than the prediction range)
April 12, 2010 (Within the prediction)
May 4, 2011 (1 day later than the predicted range)
April 5, 2012 (3 days later than the predicted range)
April 30, 2013 (Within the prediction)
May 9, 2014 (1 day later than the predicted range)
May 2, 2015 (1 day earlier than the predicted range)
* The definition of the blooming is that at least 5 to 6 flowers on at least two trees each among the three pre-chosen trees bloom.
* Full bloom means the condition where 90% of the flowers are in full bloom.
Note: I am not an expert on the blooming nor the cherry blossoms. I am calculating the figures with very basic pieces of information. I do not take any responsibilities if the prediction was off.
Nobby Miura P.Eng., M.Eng. 更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net
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Cherry Blossom Blooming Prediction, April 21, 2016 , posted by Nobby Miura , nobbycosmic@yahoo.co.jp
[] Nobby's Fearless Prediction FINAL of Cherry Blossoms at High Park (Sent out on April 9, 2016 to Japanese Canadian community)
The cherry blossom prediction dates are now within the 14-day forecast. Thus, this is the FINAL of the prediction.
Because the 14-day forecast figures are lower than the average daily temperatures of the past, the prediction dates shifted by 3 days from the previous prediction two weeks ago on March 27.
Based on the calculated figures at this point, using the 14-day forecast, they are pointing the beginning of the blooming between April 20 and April 24 and the full bloom between April 26 and April 30.
The declaration of the blooming will be posted here:
http://torontonikkeiforum.2forum.biz/f1-toronto-nikkei-forum.
* Note: Since April 9, the 14-day forecast shifted significantly to lower temperatures. The prediction above may be shifted a few more days later.
Past blooming records:
May 2, 2007 (Within the prediction)
April 26, 2008 (Within the prediction)
April 27, 2009 (2 days later than the prediction range)
April 12, 2010 (Within the prediction)
May 4, 2011 (1 day later than the predicted range)
April 5, 2012 (3 days later than the predicted range)
April 30, 2013 (Within the prediction)
May 9, 2014 (1 day later than the predicted range)
May 2, 2015 (1 day earlier than the predicted range)
* The definition of the blooming is that at least 5 to 6 flowers on at least two trees each among the three pre-chosen trees bloom.
* Full bloom means the condition where 90% of the flowers are in full bloom.
Note: I am not an expert on the blooming nor the cherry blossoms. I am calculating the figures with very basic pieces of information. I do not take any responsibilities if the prediction was off.
Nobby Miura P.Eng., M.Eng. 更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net