本文发表在 rolia.net 枫下论坛Liberals still weak in swing ridings, poll finds
Article Video Comments (7) CAMPBELL CLARK
From Saturday's Globe and Mail
September 12, 2008 at 11:25 PM EDT
The Liberals continue to struggle in the swing ridings they won by close margins in the last election, according to a Strategic Counsel poll.
There are also indications the Conservatives have gained ground in Ontario's crucial battlegrounds at the expense of the Liberals, although the past few days have seen little movement in the B.C. and Quebec ridings in which there were tight fights the last time.
The Strategic Counsel poll for The Globe and Mail and CTV News tracks 45 ridings that had the closest races in Ontario, Quebec and B.C. in the 2006 federal election or recent by-elections.
Daily surveys produce a three-day rolling poll for 20 ridings in Ontario, 15 in Quebec, and 10 in B.C. The latest three-day sample was compiled from interviews conducted Sept. 9-11.
Enlarge Image
Federal Liberal Leader Stephane Dion speaks to students during a town hall meeting at the University of Victoria on Friday. (Adrian Wyld/The Canadian Press)
Videos
00:01:51
Poll suggests Tories on brink of majority
Stephen Harper got some good news Friday amid the bad headlines — a new poll suggests his Conservatives could be headed for a majority government
Play Video
Related Articles
Recent
Dion pledges to sit with B.C. premier to harmonize green plans
Green Shift touted as both saviour and damnation
Dion declares himself champion of national unity
Dion's green plan would 'wreak havoc'
Dion hopes to overcome lingering reticence to Green Shift
Hear, hear! Sufferers laud Dion
Food and finances lead day's agenda
Tories taking on Bloc in key Quebec ridings
NDP support doubles in B.C., poll suggests
Internet Links
Election 2.0: Globe stories, photos, graphics, quizzes, interactives, columns, opinion, games and more
The lighter side: Best from The Globe's cartoonists
Who's ahead: Poll of Polls
The poll shows signs of an uptick for the Conservatives in the 20 Ontario battlegrounds – a four-percentage-point rise over the Sept. 8-10 results – bringing them to 45 per cent there. The Liberals slipped to 29 per cent in those ridings, where they started the campaign, while the NDP was at 16 per cent.
Those results would be an eight-point improvement for the Tories over the 2006 election, with the Liberals down 10 points from 2006 and the NDP down three points.
In Quebec battleground ridings, results were essentially unchanged: The Bloc is at 32, the Tories at 30, the Liberals at 21, and the NDP at 12. That's a seven-point gain for the Tories over 2006, at the expense of the Bloc and the Liberals.
And in B.C. 10 close-race ridings, there was also little change: the Conservatives are at 39, the Liberals 24 and the NDP 25.
The poll indicates that the Liberals are still trailing the Conservatives in 17 ridings that the Liberals won by close margins last time.
Meanwhile, in the 16 ridings that the Conservatives won by tight margins, the Tories enjoy a commanding 48-25 lead over the Liberals.
The poll has the following margin of error, 19 times out of 20: 4.8 percentage points for the Ontario ridings; 4.9 points for Quebec ridings; 5 points for B.C. ridings.更多精彩文章及讨论，请光临枫下论坛 rolia.net