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枫下茶话 / 工商经济 / 美国加息了,今年再加两次。
-giantbass(浮沉);
2017-3-15
(#10674877@0)
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Fed hikes key U.S. interest rate to twice what Canada's is
Higher rates in the U.S. likely to spill over into Canadian fixed-rate mortgages
-giantbass(浮沉);
2017-3-15
(#10674892@0)
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------- 来,大湿们别光喊口号,以为说个“加息”很时尚,谈谈美利坚加息,和加拿大加息有毛线关系?-----
-goosetoronto(goose);
2017-3-15
(#10674898@0)
+5
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"The quarter-point increase in the U.S. Federal [Reserve] interest rate typically results in the same increase for fixed-rate mortgages here in Canada, which we should expect to see in the coming weeks"
-giantbass(浮沉);
2017-3-15
(#10674925@0)
+1
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长期债息上升,会推升长期利率,因为银行的钱是各种自由债务市场上筹集,而美国是个主要市场
-freewayfun(freeway);
2017-3-15
(#10674942@0)
+1
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-giantbass(浮沉);
2017-3-15
(#10674950@0)
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这是课本知识,单现货市场,2018年中期都不会
-goosetoronto(goose);
2017-3-15
(#10674952@0)
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自由市场,人往高处走水往地处流,,不提高利息别人就不买了,债卷都是期货
-freewayfun(freeway);
2017-3-15
(#10674956@0)
+3
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:::))), 2 out of 18 surveyed by bbg see boc's rate hike this year
-goosetoronto(goose);
2017-3-15
(#10674977@0)
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BOC的利率是短期利率,你都不懂这其中区别
-freewayfun(freeway);
2017-3-15
(#10674988@0)
+1
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.................. okay fine, done ........:)
-goosetoronto(goose);
2017-3-15
(#10674992@0)
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债卷市场受各种关系的影响,去年到今年各大银行都提高了长期利率就是因为美国债卷大幅下跌,YIELD飙升
-freewayfun(freeway);
2017-3-15
(#10675006@0)
+1
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同意!过去几年五大银行通过按揭保险公司CMHC担保向美国及欧洲市场引来几百亿低息资金,再放贷给本地人,赚得盘满钵满。CMHC网站现只看到一月引来不到十亿,近两个月不公布了。以后资金来货成本升高,银行不加息才是傻瓜
-6ba6(ReturnSon);
2017-3-15
(#10675109@0)
+2
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That's because variable-rate mortgages would be impacted by what the Bank of Canada does. And most Canadians have fixed-rate mortgages, and rates for those are based more on bond rates, which will be affected by the US Fed's move today.
-giantbass(浮沉);
2017-3-15
(#10674947@0)
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美国加息,加拿大不一定要跟。不跟的后果。加元继续走弱,前年是80分,去年到现在不到75分,将来或许到70甚至60,物价飞涨---进口的东西都要涨。 房价继续膨胀,~~~~
-kking(捣蛋);
2017-3-15
(#10675321@0)
+1
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看到这样无知的涨派,大家是不是很开心?
-tracy.f(杨柳依依);
2017-3-15
(#10675332@0)
+6
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Based on the Fed's projections Wednesday, as many as two more rate hikes could be coming this year followed by three more in 2018, making borrowing more expensive.
-giantbass(浮沉);
2017-3-15
(#10674909@0)
+3
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加拿大到明年中10几次BOC会议目前为止还没有单次超过20%的几率加息,所以别乱扯
-goosetoronto(goose);
2017-3-15
(#10674926@0)
+1
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别怪他,他是真不懂。估计这“再加两次利息”的消息,他连利多利空都看不出来。lol
-yingli(ying);
2017-3-15
(#10675071@0)
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转一个分析,TLT 在0.25公布后跳涨,对多伦多房市是利好!和加拿大跟不跟进没大关系。简单化的打个比喻,多伦多银行给大家的mortgage的钱,是从TLT 里来的(也确实是从债券市场来的),TLT 是固定收益债券,也就是说,银行到期兑付的钱比方说是125刀一股是不变的,现在TLT 涨价,投资者给银行的钱就越多,银行的成本就越低,转化过来,银行能给的利率就越低。所以说TLT 涨,房贷利率就降。
-nancysh(闲看门中木笑谈天上竹);
2017-3-15
{350}
(#10675209@0)
+2
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太扯。
-upgradetotd(八戒);
2017-3-15
(#10675217@0)
+4
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上涨是因为市场认为加的不够,原来的价钱已经price in
-freewayfun(freeway);
2017-3-15
(#10675311@0)
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tlt从上周就跌了,今天上涨叫利空出尽是利好。美国加息是铁板钉钉的。tlt是逢高做空的首选。
-yingli(ying);
2017-3-15
(#10675249@0)
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那位牛牛也说,不排除利空出尽。我是不是该去考个CSC学习下?
-nancysh(闲看门中木笑谈天上竹);
2017-3-15
(#10675337@0)
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noway,这是短暂利空出尽,还有两次加息呢。所以反弹是有leg的,但千万别忘了基本面。有payroll消息出台前要出货tlt。因为又要搞加息blahblah。
-yingli(ying);
2017-3-15
(#10675352@0)
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所以所以所以真不敢碰股票金融,完全小白迷茫中。上次学了个词叫greenshoe option, 阵亡了多少脑细胞!@_@
-nancysh(闲看门中木笑谈天上竹);
2017-3-15
(#10675499@0)
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朋友,这样真得不好,会吓死你的队友的.
-tracy.f(杨柳依依);
2017-3-15
(#10675324@0)
+2
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成人,哪个不是吓大的?
-nancysh(闲看门中木笑谈天上竹);
2017-3-15
(#10675339@0)
+4
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不错!继续努力忽悠
-kking(捣蛋);
2017-3-15
{4}
(#10675327@0)
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美国加息对大家都好
-statstar(tiger);
2017-3-15
(#10675542@0)
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dui tou
-giantbass(浮沉);
2017-3-16
(#10675844@0)